ETF Portfolio Guide
ETF-Portfolio.comBacktesting Tool
  • ETF Portfolio: Best Backtesting Tool
  • Investing Basics
    • How to Invest Wisely: A Guide to Building Your Portfolio
      • Maximizing Long-Term Compounded Returns
      • A Closer Look: Arithmetic vs. Compounded Returns
    • Asset Allocation: The Key to Building a Balanced Portfolio
      • Understanding Investment Risk
      • Mastering Diversification: Maximizing Returns and Minimizing Risks
      • How Diversification Slashes Investment Risks
      • Power of Asset Allocation
      • Overcoming Behavioral Biases
    • Types of Asset Allocation
      • Static Asset Allocation
      • Tactical Asset Allocation
      • Combining Strategies
    • Why ETFs?
      • Understanding indexes
      • A Comprehensive Guide on ETFs
      • Individual stocks vs. ETFs
  • How-to-Backtest/Stratigies
    • Getting Started
    • What is "Backtesting"?
    • Choosing a Right Strategy
    • Strategy Category
    • A Comprehensive Guide on Asset Classes
      • A Guide to Understanding Economic Cycles
    • Static Asset Allocation Backtesting
    • Backtesting Tactical Asset Allocation
      • Momentum
      • Momentum Filters
      • Crash Protection Option (A)
      • Crash Protection Option (B)
    • Importance of Rebalancing
    • Strategy Examples
    • Combining Strategies
    • Understanding the Backtesting Outcomes
      • Benchmark strategy - 60/40 Strategy
      • Key statistics
      • Performance charts
      • Drawdown
      • Portfolio Details - Assets
  • How-to-choose-ETFs
    • ETFs: Getting Started
    • ETF Heatmap
    • ETF Screener
    • Curated ETF offerings
    • Extended Data for US ETFs
    • A Guide to Investing in Dividend ETFs
    • ETF Alert
    • My ETF Feature
    • Understanding ETF Details
  • FAQ
    • Frequently Asked Questions
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On this page
  • Delving into the Results
  • Analyzing the Data
  • Learning from the Past
  • Need for Long-Term Backtesting
  1. How-to-Backtest/Stratigies

Understanding the Backtesting Outcomes

Performance Analysis

Last updated 1 year ago

Of course, past results are not always indicative of the future. You can learn from testing scenarios in different environments over time. We therefore recommend that you backtest for as long as possible. We recommend using strategies that have been backtested for at least 10 years.

Delving into the Results

When it comes to understanding the effectiveness of a tactical or static asset allocation strategy, performance analysis plays a pivotal role. By backtesting a strategy, investors can gain valuable insights into its historical performance, allowing them to gauge its efficacy and potential for success in real-world scenarios.

Analyzing the Data

The data gleaned from backtesting provides investors with a wealth of statistics that shed light on various aspects of the strategy's performance. From overall returns to risk metrics and drawdown analysis, these insights enable investors to identify strengths and weaknesses, fine-tune their approach, and optimize their strategies for better results.

Learning from the Past

While past performance is indeed valuable, it's essential to recognize that it doesn't guarantee future success. However, by conducting thorough backtesting across different market conditions and timeframes, investors can glean valuable lessons and insights that can inform their decision-making processes moving forward.

Need for Long-Term Backtesting

To ensure robustness and reliability, it's advisable to backtest strategies over extended periods, ideally spanning at least a decade. This extended timeframe allows investors to assess how their strategies perform across various market cycles and economic conditions, providing a more comprehensive understanding of their strategy's potential.

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